10-year edges up to 5.28%
The 10-year Treasury closed Friday at 5.28%, up 4 basis points; the 2-year closed at 4.83%. The year's highest close so far is 5.29% on Sept. 30.
3 things to know
Payrolls rose 29,000 in September
The unemployment rate held at 4.2%. July was revised to -10,000 and August to +133,000.
Three filings from tracked companies
Tesla and IBM filed 8-Ks, and Tempus AI amended its registration for the Personalis merger.
Bottom line
Markets are closed for the weekend after a Friday close of 5.28% on the 10-year Treasury. Fed funds (EFFR) stood at 3.88% and SOFR at 3.87% as of Oct. 1.
Next week's focus includes the international trade report on Oct. 6 and the Fed's September meeting minutes. September CPI follows on Oct. 14.
Rates, the dollar and the Fed
10-year Treasury
5.28%
▲ +4 bp · 1 month ▲ +49 bp
Since Jul 2 · as of Oct 2
2-year Treasury
4.83%
▲ +5 bp · 1 month ▲ +44 bp
Since Jul 2 · as of Oct 2
Dollar index (broad)
120.33
▼ −0.18% · 1 month ▲ +1.59%
Since Jun 25 · as of Sep 25
Fed funds (EFFR)
3.88%
0 bp · 1 month ▲ +25 bp
Since Jul 1 · as of Oct 1
Scoreboard
| Measure | Latest | As of | 1 day | 1 week | 1 month | Since Dec 31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-month T-bill | 4.19% | Oct 2 | ▲ +2 bp | ▼ −5 bp | ▲ +27 bp | ▲ +52 bp |
| 2-year | 4.83% | Oct 2 | ▲ +5 bp | ▲ +2 bp | ▲ +44 bp | ▲ +136 bp |
| 5-year | 5.06% | Oct 2 | ▲ +5 bp | ▲ +8 bp | ▲ +52 bp | ▲ +133 bp |
| 10-year | 5.28% | Oct 2 | ▲ +4 bp | ▲ +11 bp | ▲ +49 bp | ▲ +110 bp |
| 30-year | 5.63% | Oct 2 | ▲ +2 bp | ▲ +14 bp | ▲ +36 bp | ▲ +79 bp |
| 10y–2y spread | 45 bp | Oct 2 | ▼ −1 bp | ▲ +9 bp | ▲ +5 bp | ▼ −26 bp |
| Fed funds (EFFR) | 3.88% | Oct 1 | 0 bp | 0 bp | ▲ +25 bp | ▲ +24 bp |
| SOFR | 3.87% | Oct 1 | ▼ −3 bp | ▼ −1 bp | ▲ +21 bp | 0 bp |
| Dollar index (broad) | 120.33 | Sep 25 | ▼ −0.18% | ▲ +0.68% | ▲ +1.59% | ▲ +0.49% |
Rates in percent; changes in basis points (bp; 100 bp = 1 percentage point). Dollar index changes in percent. Shading shows the size of each move, darker for larger moves; arrows show the direction.
Sources: U.S. Treasury yields; Federal Reserve Board H.10 nominal broad dollar index (weekly release, via FRED); Federal Reserve Bank of New York EFFR and SOFR.
Treasury yields
10-year and 2-year yields, since Jul 2
10-year2-year
Yield curve: Oct 2 vs Jul 2
Oct 2Jul 2
Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury, Daily Par Yield Curve Rates, official closes through Oct 2. Public domain.
SEC filings, Oct 1 – Oct 3
Company events and registrations
- S-4/ATEM Tempus AI: merger registration (amended)Fri, Oct 2 ›
- 8-KTSLA Tesla: results of operationsFri, Oct 2 ›
- 8-KIBM IBM: director or officer change, bylaw amendmentThu, Oct 1 ›
Insider filings (Forms 3, 4 and 144)
IBM 12× Form 4ESTC 1× Form 4, 3× Form 144PLTR 3× Form 4, 1× Form 144AI 1× Form 4, 1× Form 144HON 1× Form 3, 1× Form 4BABA 1× Form 4DDOG 1× Form 4PANW 1× Form 4PATH 1× Form 144PEGA 1× Form 144
Form 4 reports an insider's trade; Form 144 is notice of a planned sale; Form 3 is a new insider's first holdings report.
Source: SEC EDGAR, tracked companies only. Public domain.
Tracked companies
| Ticker | Name | News | Next event | Links |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AA | Alcoa | Closed a $2.6B debt offering to fund the South32 asset purchase. | Earnings Oct 15 | Quote ›Filings › |
| AB | AllianceBernstein | AUM $919B (Aug 31); Onur Erzan named CEO effective Apr 1, 2027. | Earnings Oct 27 | Quote ›Filings › |
| AI | C3.ai | FY27 revenue guide $210–240M; federal bookings +138% y/y. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | $8.2B all-stock acquisition of World Labs. | Earnings Nov 3 | Quote ›Filings › |
| AMRN | Amarin | No notable news. | Earnings Oct 28 | Quote ›Filings › |
| AMZN | Amazon | $1B data-center community pledge. | Earnings Oct 29 | Quote ›Filings › |
| B | Barrick Mining | Targeting a year-end IPO of North American operations; strike notices at its Mali complex. | Earnings Nov 9 | Quote ›Filings › |
| BABA | Alibaba | Securities class actions pending. | Lead-plaintiff deadline Oct 5 | Quote ›Filings › |
| BNDX | Vanguard Total Intl Bond ETF | No notable news. | Went ex-dividend Oct 1 | Quote ›Filings › |
| BTZ | BlackRock Credit Allocation Income Trust | No notable news. | Next ex-dividend ~Oct 15 | Quote ›Filings › |
| DDOG | Datadog | No notable news. | Earnings Nov 5 | Quote ›Filings › |
| DG | Dollar General | Expanded same-day delivery with Instacart. | Ex-dividend Oct 6 | Quote ›Filings › |
| ESTC | Elastic | No notable news. | Earnings Nov 19; investor meeting Oct 8 | Quote ›Filings › |
| FICO | Fair Isaac | FHFA gave VantageScore 4.0 equal pricing footing with FICO for Fannie/Freddie loans (Sep 29), then approved FICO's Direct License Program (Oct 1). | Earnings Nov 4 | Quote ›Filings › |
| FLR | Fluor | JV with JGC selected for Phase 2 of LNG Canada; backlog near $27B. | Earnings Nov 6 | Quote ›Filings › |
| HON | Honeywell | Selected for Dangote's planned Kenyan refinery. | Earnings Oct 22 | Quote ›Filings › |
| IBM | IBM | Elected Frank Baker to its board Oct 1; board now 14 seats. | Earnings Oct 21 | Quote ›Filings › |
| INTC | Intel | No notable news. | Earnings Oct 22 | Quote ›Filings › |
| META | Meta Platforms | New Mexico seeking $35–40B in privacy penalties after trial. | Earnings Oct 28 | Quote ›Filings › |
| NVDA | NVIDIA | Amazon reportedly exploring offloading ~$8B of Nvidia chips to investors. | Earnings Nov 18 | Quote ›Filings › |
| PANW | Palo Alto Networks | No notable news. | Earnings Nov 18 | Quote ›Filings › |
| PATH | UiPath | Expanded Snowflake integrations. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| PEGA | Pegasystems | New AI products (Blueprint, Infinity). | Earnings Oct 20 | Quote ›Filings › |
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies | Partnership with Armada on sovereign AI infrastructure; passed 1,000 customers. | Earnings ~Nov 2 | Quote ›Filings › |
| SPCX | SpaceX | NASA crew mission to the ISS this week. | Earnings Nov 17 | Quote ›Filings › |
| SVC | Service Properties Trust | No notable news. | Earnings Nov 4 | Quote ›Filings › |
| TEM | Tempus AI | Filed an amended S-4 (Oct 2) for the Personalis merger. | Earnings Nov 3 | Quote ›Filings › |
| TSLA | Tesla | Furnished a results-of-operations 8-K Oct 2. | Earnings Oct 21 | Quote ›Filings › |
| VOO | Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| VST | Vistra | Priced $1.5B of junior subordinated notes. | Earnings Nov 6 | Quote ›Filings › |
| VT | Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| VTI | Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| VXUS | Vanguard Total Intl Stock ETF | No notable news. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
| XTND | Xtend AI Robotics | SOCOM drone-program Phase III award. | — | Quote ›Filings › |
News from company releases and SEC filings. "Quote" opens the ticker on Nasdaq.com; "Filings" opens it on SEC EDGAR.
Top stories
September employment report
BLS reported payrolls up 29,000 and unemployment at 4.2%. Average hourly earnings were up 3.0% from a year earlier.
Source: BLS Employment Situation ›
Treasury par yield curve
Treasury's daily par yield curve shows the 10-year at 5.28% and the 2-year at 4.83% for Oct. 2.
Tesla files results 8-K
Tesla furnished an 8-K on Oct. 2 attaching a press release on results of operations.
Source: SEC EDGAR: Tesla 8-K ›
IBM adds a director
IBM elected Frank Baker of Siris Capital to its board on Oct. 1 and raised the board size from 13 to 14.
Source: SEC EDGAR: IBM 8-K ›
Tempus AI amends Personalis merger filing
Tempus AI filed Amendment No. 1 to its S-4 for acquiring Personalis; Personalis holders must approve at a special meeting.
Source: SEC EDGAR: Tempus AI S-4/A ›
Economic calendar
| Tue, Oct 6, 8:30 AM ET | Census: U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, August |
| Wed, Oct 7 | Fed: Minutes of the Sept. 15–16 FOMC meeting (due three weeks after the decision) |
| Thu, Oct 8, 10:00 AM ET | Census: Monthly Wholesale Trade, August |
| Wed, Oct 14, 8:30 AM ET | BLS: Consumer Price Index, September |
| Wed, Oct 14, 10:00 AM ET | Census: Business Formation Statistics, September |
| Thu, Oct 15, 8:30 AM ET | BLS: Producer Price Index, September |
| Thu, Oct 15, 8:30 AM ET | Census: Advance Monthly Retail Sales, September |
| Fri, Oct 16, 8:30 AM ET | BLS: Import and Export Price Indexes, September |
| Tue, Oct 27 – Wed, Oct 28 | FOMC meeting |
Times in Eastern Time (ET).
Sources: BLS, Census, Federal Reserve calendars. Company dates are in Tracked companies.
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| Source | Used for | Terms |
|---|---|---|
| U.S. Department of the Treasury, Daily Par Yield Curve Rates | Yields: strip, cards, scoreboard and charts | Public domain |
| Federal Reserve Board, H.10 nominal broad U.S. dollar index (via FRED, series DTWEXBGS) | Broad dollar index (weekly release) | Public domain |
| Federal Reserve Bank of New York, reference rates (EFFR, SOFR) | Effective federal funds rate and SOFR | Free with notice |
| U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, EDGAR | Filings panel and company filing links | Public domain |
| U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics | Jobs report and release calendar | Public domain |
| U.S. Census Bureau | Economic release calendar | Public domain |
| Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System | FOMC dates and Fed speakers | Public domain |
| Company press releases and filings | Company news | Issued for publication |
| News publisher (headline and link only; summary is our own) | Top stories: headline, link and our own summary only | Headline + link |
Each figure in the daily data file records its source, as-of date and retrieval time. Provider terms were last reviewed Saturday, October 3, 2026 and are re-checked every 90 days. Not used: third-party market widgets, stock price feeds, Yahoo Finance, Google Finance, brokerage APIs, free news APIs, or full article text.